Preseason Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#159
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.1#72
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#212
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#120
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.5 11.4 12.9
.500 or above 33.4% 38.9% 14.8%
.500 or above in Conference 27.5% 30.5% 17.5%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 15.1% 25.1%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round1.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Neutral) - 77.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 33 - 45 - 12
Quad 46 - 210 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 298   Cal St. Fullerton W 76-68 77%    
  Nov 27, 2020 68   @ Washington L 68-79 15%    
  Nov 28, 2020 252   Portland St. W 82-76 70%    
  Dec 08, 2020 298   Cal St. Fullerton W 78-67 84%    
  Dec 09, 2020 27   @ UCLA L 62-78 7%    
  Dec 16, 2020 315   @ Cal Poly W 76-69 73%    
  Dec 23, 2020 228   Long Beach St. W 80-73 74%    
  Dec 31, 2020 91   @ San Francisco L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 02, 2021 54   BYU L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 07, 2021 74   St. Mary's L 66-71 34%    
  Jan 09, 2021 138   @ Pacific L 66-71 35%    
  Jan 14, 2021 154   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-70 38%    
  Jan 16, 2021 125   Santa Clara W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 23, 2021 263   @ Portland W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 28, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 72-88 8%    
  Jan 30, 2021 154   Loyola Marymount W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 04, 2021 108   @ Pepperdine L 75-82 27%    
  Feb 06, 2021 138   Pacific W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 13, 2021 54   @ BYU L 70-83 15%    
  Feb 18, 2021 125   @ Santa Clara L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 20, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 69-91 4%    
  Feb 25, 2021 263   Portland W 77-68 77%    
  Feb 27, 2021 108   Pepperdine L 78-79 46%    
Projected Record 10 - 13 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.7 3.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.4 3.4 4.9 1.9 0.2 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.0 6.5 2.2 0.2 13.2 6th
7th 0.6 4.6 6.6 2.4 0.1 14.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.7 2.7 0.1 15.6 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 6.3 6.1 2.3 0.2 17.1 9th
10th 0.8 2.6 3.6 2.8 0.8 0.0 10.6 10th
Total 0.8 2.8 5.7 10.1 12.5 14.0 13.8 12.7 10.2 7.6 4.8 2.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 65.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-3 30.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 9.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 95.8% 29.2% 66.7% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.1%
14-2 0.2% 73.6% 16.2% 57.4% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 68.5%
13-3 0.7% 58.2% 9.8% 48.4% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 53.6%
12-4 1.3% 25.3% 7.0% 18.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 19.7%
11-5 2.7% 17.1% 5.3% 11.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 12.5%
10-6 4.8% 4.3% 3.0% 1.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.6 1.3%
9-7 7.6% 2.2% 1.7% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.4 0.6%
8-8 10.2% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.2%
7-9 12.7% 0.6% 0.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6
6-10 13.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8
5-11 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
4-12 12.5% 12.5
3-13 10.1% 10.1
2-14 5.7% 5.7
1-15 2.8% 2.8
0-16 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.0% 0.9% 1.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 98.0 1.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%